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AM Best upgrades credit rating of Georgia Capital’s P&C insurance business

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Georgia Capital PLC (the “Company” or “GCAP”) announces today that AM Best, a leading international credit rating agency, has upgraded the credit rating of Aldagi, the holding company of GCAP’s P&C insurance business, to the investment grade level of “bbb- (Stable)” from “bb+ (Positive)”, marking the first time a Georgian insurance company has been assigned an international investment-grade credit rating.

The rating upgrade reflects AM Best’s view that Aldagi is well positioned to maintain resilient balance sheet strength and sustain its strongest level of risk-adjusted capitalisation, underpinned by prudent capital and underwriting management. The detailed rating announcement is available on AM Best’s website.

Irakli Gilauri, Georgia Capital’s Chairman and CEO commented: "We are proud of Aldagi’s milestone achievement, which highlights the quality of the business. Achieving investment-grade status is a significant step for both Aldagi and the broader Georgian insurance sector."

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image Macro Update – Georgia - TBC Capital

21.08.2025.14:36

What’s Left of the Good Time Buffer?

 

  • While net inflows are still improving, GEL deposits are growing steadily in the banking system and the NBG continues reserve replenishment, we question how much of the “Good Time Buffer” i.e. deposits excessively converted to the FC and credit in LC, currently supporting the GEL, is left for now;

     

  • Having in mind the number of other drivers such as net inflows, fiscal balance, the share of cash in monetary aggregates and corresponding effect on credit side as well we estimate the approximate volume using three different scenarios based on deposit larization dynamics;

     

  • Based on various assumptions of deposit and credit trends, we estimate so called buffer initially to stand around $ 1 billion;

     

  • Another proxy may be the NBG selling net $875 million from FX reserves in May-October 2024 and, thereafter, purchasing a modest $153 million in November-February, while scaling up to $1.5 billion net purchases since March up to date, per on our estimates, other drivers also being in play;

     

  • Finally, we conclude that currently a substantial amount though less than half of total still appears to be left over from the buffer, set to continue supporting the GEL going forward unless sentiments deteriorate again.

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